Sport Picks

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Florgrade vs Sanjoanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E.
90' Event
Semedo G.

AI Match Summary

Florgrade in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Florgrade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Florgrade
30%
Draws
31%
Sanjoanense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Florgrade lately — more wins on the board than Sanjoanense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%
Sanjoanense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Florgrade Sanjoanense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Sanjoanense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Azevedo Nunes Almeida J. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Semedo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sanjoanense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Florgrade 41 / 100
Sanjoanense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Florgrade Sanjoanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanjoanense has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Florgrade's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Florgrade went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Florgrade VS Sanjoanense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Florgrade

(Home)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 6

Sanjoanense

(Away)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Sanjoanense
3 : 1
FC Alpendorada
30 Aug
Sanjoanense
3 : 0
Pacos de Brandao
23 Aug
SC Salgueiros
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
16 Aug
Sanjoanense
1 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
7 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Cinfaes 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)