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Floriana vs Ghajnsielem Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2021/2022 Independence Ground, Floriana
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Ciolacu A.

AI Match Summary

Floriana in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Floriana
15%
Draws
0%
Ghajnsielem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Floriana lately — more wins on the board than Ghajnsielem.
  • Model gives Floriana a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Floriana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Floriana, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Floriana Clean Sheet 20%
Ghajnsielem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floriana Ghajnsielem
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 0
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.78 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 FA Trophy
Floriana vs Ghajnsielem
1:0
Jan 18, 2017 FA Trophy
Floriana vs Ghajnsielem
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciolacu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ghajnsielem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floriana 85 / 100
Ghajnsielem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floriana Ghajnsielem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floriana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floriana found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Ghajnsielem has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Ghajnsielem lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Floriana VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Floriana

(Home)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Floriana
2 : 5
Marsaxlokk
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2
Valletta
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
Page 1 of 7

Ghajnsielem

(Away)
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Tarxien
4 : 0
Ghajnsielem
11 Jan
Sliema
8 : 0
Ghajnsielem
14 Jan
Valletta
7 : 1
Ghajnsielem
15 Jan
Hamrun
3 : 1
Ghajnsielem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Zabbar 3
Mqabba FC 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Zebbug 4
Zurrieq 1
St. Andrews 3
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Sliema -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Mellieha 0
Pembroke -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 5
Kercem Ajax 2
Marsa -
TBD -
Senglea 1
Tarxien 2
Sannat Lions 1
Marsaskala FC 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Melita 3
Mgarr 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Lija 0
Fgura 4
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Pieta 3
Rabat Ajax 2
Hamrun -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 2
San Gwann 1
Zejtun -
TBD -
Qrendi 1
Xewkija 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Oratory 0
1/16-finals
Gzira 4
Zabbar 0
Gudja 4
Swieqi 0
Zebbug 0
St. Andrews 2
Santa Lucia 4
Sirens 1
Sliema 3
Vittoriosa 0
Pembroke 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Marsa 0
Tarxien 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Valletta 5
Floriana 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Melita 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara 4
Fgura 0
Mosta FC 5
Luqa 0
Balzan FC 5
Pieta 1
Hamrun 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Zejtun 7
Xewkija 1
Hibernians 2
Nadur 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 3
Gudja 1
St. Andrews 1
Santa Lucia 2
Sliema 1
Marsaxlokk 2
Tarxien 1
Valletta 5
Floriana 2
St. George's FC 0
Birkirkara 1
Mosta FC 0
Balzan FC 1
Hamrun 2
Zejtun 1
Hibernians 2
Quarter-finals
Gzira 0
Santa Lucia 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Valletta 3
Floriana 3
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Santa Lucia 0
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Hibernians 1
Final
Valletta 1
Floriana 2