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Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers

Europe Europe

Champions League Independence Ground
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Muric R.
Assist: Varela F.
58'
Healy M.
58'
Healy M.

AI Match Summary

Floriana in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Floriana
20%
Draws
38%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shamrock Rovers lately — more wins on the board than Floriana.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Floriana taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Floriana Clean Sheet 20%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floriana Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Champions League
Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana
5:1
Jul 7, 2026 Champions League
Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Muric R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floriana 42 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floriana Shamrock Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floriana's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Floriana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Shamrock Rovers conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Floriana VS Shamrock Rovers
1.17 Goals Scored 1.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
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Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
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Hearts-
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Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Larne-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku-
KuPS-
Klaksvik-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia-
Shamrock Rovers-
Levski Sofia-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
Kairat Almaty-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
H. Beer Sheva-
Iberia 1999-
Slovan Bratislava-
KF Egnatia-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
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Semi-finals
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Final
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