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Floya vs Finnsnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Bendiksen M.
(Penalty)
65'
Lund M.
66' Event
Valen A.

AI Match Summary

Floya in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Floya
15%
Draws
26%
Finnsnes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Finnsnes haven't matched Floya's recent run of results.
  • Floya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Floya Clean Sheet 15%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Floya Finnsnes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.48 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Floya vs Finnsnes
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Floya
2:2
Aug 3, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Floya
5:1
May 18, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Floya vs Finnsnes
2:3
Aug 24, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Floya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Floya Compare

Top Goalscorer Valen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fitzgerald S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Finnsnes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Floya 84 / 100
Finnsnes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Floya Finnsnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Floya scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Finnsnes let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Floya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Floya VS Finnsnes
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Floya

(Home)
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
13 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
1 : 5
Floya
05 Sept
Floya
2 : 2
Skjetten
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
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Finnsnes

(Away)
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 3
Finnsnes
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