Sport Picks

Brazil

Piauiense 2023

Ferroviario-PI

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fluminense-PI play Ferroviario-PI in the Piauiense 2023. Fluminense-PI are favorites here. Recently, Fluminense-PI averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.02 conceded. Ferroviario-PI averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Fluminense-PI won 2, Ferroviario-PI won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 4, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Fluminense-PI and 1.00 for Ferroviario-PI. This points to a Fluminense-PI double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Fluminense-PI

25%

Draws

15%

Ferroviario-PI

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Fluminense-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Fluminense-PI picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviario-PI.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 23%

Ferroviario-PI Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fluminense-PI	Ferroviario-PI
Matches Played	43	14
Wins	19	0
Draws	13	0
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.47	0
Goals Conceded	1.02	3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Piauiense

Ferroviario-PI vs Fluminense-PI

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

0:3

Jan 25, 2023 Piauiense

Fluminense-PI vs Ferroviario-PI

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-PI 59 / 100

Ferroviario-PI 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fluminense-PI Ferroviario-PI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-PI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Fluminense-PI & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fluminense-PI attacking → ← attacking Ferroviario-PI

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-PI scored in 65% of their last 43 games.

Ferroviario-PI let in goals in 50% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fluminense-PI went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario-PI lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 0

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River-PI	14	9	4	1	29:11	31
2	Fluminense-PI	14	9	4	1	24:9	31
3	AE Altos	14	7	4	3	21:10	25
4	Parnahyba	14	4	8	2	17:11	20
5	Julho Esporte	14	4	4	6	14:14	16
6	Corisabba	14	4	4	6	20:18	13
7	Comercial PI	14	5	0	9	13:23	12
8	Ferroviario-PI	14	0	0	14	0:42	0