Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-PI vs Piaui

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense Estadio Governador Alberto Tavares Silva (Albertao), Teresina
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Williams Bahia
73'
Rayanderson
73'
Rayanderson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fluminense-PI
15%
Draws
59%
Piaui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piaui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piaui lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense-PI.
  • Piaui are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Piaui arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-PI, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 23%
Piaui Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-PI Piaui
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie D
Piaui vs Fluminense-PI
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
3:2
Apr 8, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Piauiense
Piaui vs Fluminense-PI
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs Piaui
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-PI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Piaui Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-PI 29 / 100
Piaui 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-PI Piaui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-PI's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Piaui conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Fluminense-PI has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-PI VS Piaui
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-PI

(Home)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 6

Piaui

(Away)
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
13 Jun
Piaui
2 : 1
Tirol
01 Jun
Atletico Cearense
0 : 1
Piaui
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atletico-PI 4
AE Altos 1
Piaui 4
Fluminense-PI 1
Final
Atletico-PI 0
Piaui 1