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Fluminense-PI vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Fatel
45' Event
Fatel
57' Event
Vinicius Balotelli
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Fluminense-PI in this Piauiense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense-PI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fluminense-PI
30%
Draws
39%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: River-PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense-PI lately — more wins on the board than River-PI.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 68%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-PI River-PI
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 15 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2025 Piauiense
River-PI vs Fluminense-PI
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Piauiense
Fluminense-PI vs River-PI
4:1
Jun 29, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs Fluminense-PI
2:2
May 19, 2024 Serie D
Fluminense-PI vs River-PI
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Piauiense
River-PI vs Fluminense-PI
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Vieira
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

River-PI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-PI 41 / 100
River-PI 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-PI River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-PI's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

River-PI let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fluminense-PI stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-PI VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-PI

(Home)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
Page 1 of 8

River-PI

(Away)
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
22 Feb
River-PI
1 : 0
Piaui
17 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
08 Feb
AE Altos
1 : 0
River-PI
03 Feb
River-PI
1 : 1
Atletico-PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Fluminense-PI 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
3 Atletico-PI 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
4 River-PI 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piaui 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
2 Parnahyba 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Oeirense 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Julho Esporte 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)