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Fluminense Piaui U20 vs Flamengo RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fluminense Piaui U20 play Flamengo RJ U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fluminense Piaui U20 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Flamengo RJ U20 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Fluminense Piaui U20 won 0, Flamengo RJ U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Fluminense Piaui U20 and 0.63 for Flamengo RJ U20. This points to a Flamengo RJ U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Fluminense Piaui U20
22%
Draws
46%
Flamengo RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Flamengo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Fluminense Piaui U20 picked up more points recently compared to Flamengo RJ U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Fluminense Piaui U20 Clean Sheet 29%
Flamengo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Piaui U20 Flamengo RJ U20
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2022 Copa do Brasil U20
Fluminense Piaui U20 vs Flamengo RJ U20
0:1
Oct 17, 2022 Copa do Brasil U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Fluminense Piaui U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Piaui U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Flamengo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Welinton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense Piaui U20 35 / 100
Flamengo RJ U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Piaui U20 Flamengo RJ U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flamengo RJ U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fluminense Piaui U20 attacking → ← attacking Flamengo RJ U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense Piaui U20 scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Flamengo RJ U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Fluminense Piaui U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Flamengo RJ U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 53
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13