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Fluminense-SC vs Avai B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Fluminense-SC Logo

Fluminense-SC

4 - 4
FT
Avai B Logo

Avai B

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Santa Catarina 2019 tie, finishing 4-4. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fluminense-SC
20%
Draws
29%
Avai B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai B haven't matched Fluminense-SC's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense-SC taking it.
  • Fluminense-SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Avai B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Avai B
Matches Played 35 16
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Avai B
4:4
Oct 2, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Fluminense-SC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 40 / 100
Avai B 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Avai B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai B has conceded goals in 88% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Fluminense-SC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Recent resilience: Fluminense-SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 7

Avai B

(Away)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)