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Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Neto A.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Fluminense-SC and Gremio Juventus finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fluminense-SC
39%
Draws
31%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Gremio Juventus
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 41 / 100
Gremio Juventus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Gremio Juventus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gremio Juventus let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fluminense-SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Gremio Juventus
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631