Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense-SC vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Lima J.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Fluminense-SC and Jaragua-SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense-SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fluminense-SC
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense-SC come out ahead of Jaragua-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense-SC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fluminense-SC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Jaragua-SC
1:0
May 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Fluminense-SC
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Fluminense-SC
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Catarinense 3
Fluminense-SC vs Jaragua-SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense-SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Jaragua-SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fluminense-SC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Jaragua-SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Jaragua-SC
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)