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Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fluminense-SC
15%
Draws
0%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense-SC have managed 1 goals a game lately — Tubarao are scoring more at 1.15.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense-SC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense-SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense-SC Tubarao
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
2:1
May 31, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Catarinense 2
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
3:1
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Tubarao
1:1
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Fluminense-SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense-SC 40 / 100
Tubarao 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense-SC Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Fluminense-SC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Fluminense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense-SC VS Tubarao
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense-SC

(Home)
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
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Tubarao

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 14 10 2 2 22:10 32
2 Brusque 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
3 Tubarao 14 6 6 2 20:13 24
4 Avai B 14 6 3 5 22:22 21
5 Fluminense-SC 14 4 5 5 25:24 17
6 Joinville 14 4 3 7 17:21 15
7 Figueirense B 14 2 4 8 14:24 10
8 Almirante Barroso 14 1 5 8 9:24 8
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)