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Stadium Background

Fluminense U20 vs Bangu U20

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guilherme P.
76' Event
Joao Martins
90' Event
Bernardo A.

AI Match Summary

Fluminense U20 in this Carioca U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fluminense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
7%
Bangu U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bangu U20 haven't matched Fluminense U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Bangu U20
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 20 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.6 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Bangu U20
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Bangu U20
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Carioca U20
Bangu U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:2
Jul 20, 2024 Carioca U20
Bangu U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Bangu U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernardo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bangu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Martins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 95 / 100
Bangu U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Bangu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fluminense U20 scored in 69% of their last 42 outings.

Defensive concern: Bangu U20 conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Fluminense U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Bangu U20
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
01 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 2
Fluminense U20
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Bangu U20

(Away)
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
15 Aug
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 0
Bangu U20
11 Aug
Bangu U20
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa FE U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2
Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2
America RJ U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 5 5 0 0 14:3 15
2 Botafogo RJ U20 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
3 Fluminense U20 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 5 3 1 1 7:7 10
5 Vasco U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
6 Marica U20 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
7 Portuguesa RJ U20 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
8 Nova Iguacu U20 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
9 Madureira U20 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
10 Volta Redonda U20 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
11 Bangu U20 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
12 Boavista U20 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)