Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Vagno
60' Event
Bringel R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
28%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Boavista U20 haven't matched Fluminense U20's recent run of results.
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fluminense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fluminense U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
3:0
Mar 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:2
Jun 29, 2024 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
0:1
Mar 11, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vagno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bringel R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Boavista U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 95 / 100
Boavista U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Boavista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Fluminense U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense U20 scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Boavista U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
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Boavista U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
05 Sept
Boavista U20
2 : 2
Marica U20
22 Aug
Boavista U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 7 5 2 0 17:2 17
2 Bangu U20 7 5 0 2 9:4 15
3 Botafogo RJ U20 7 4 3 0 19:3 15
4 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 3 1 3 11:9 10
5 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 Resende U20 7 2 2 3 8:17 8
7 Olaria U20 7 1 1 5 3:13 4
8 Volta Redonda U20 7 0 1 6 5:20 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RJ U20 7 6 0 1 16:8 18
2 Vasco U20 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
3 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 0 3 21:10 12
4 Sampaio Correa U20 7 3 1 3 11:13 10
5 Madureira U20 7 3 1 3 6:10 10
6 Nova Iguacu U20 7 2 1 4 6:12 7
7 Cabofriense U20 7 2 1 4 7:18 7
8 Marica U20 7 1 0 6 5:11 3
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 (Play Offs)