Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense U20 vs Ituano U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha Estadio Prefeito Gabriel Marques, Santana de Parnaiba
Fluminense U20 Logo

Fluminense U20

0 - 2
FT
Ituano U20 Logo

Ituano U20

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Matheus Rocha
89'
Fabio
90' Event
Stefanello L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
28%
Ituano U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense U20 have won more games recently than Ituano U20.
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fluminense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ituano U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ituano U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Ituano U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Copinha
Fluminense U20 vs Ituano U20
0:2
Jan 12, 2024 Copinha
Fluminense U20 vs Ituano U20
2:3
Jan 8, 2020 Copinha
Ituano U20 vs Fluminense U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Rocha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stefanello L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 95 / 100
Ituano U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Ituano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fluminense U20 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ituano U20 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Ituano U20
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 6

Ituano U20

(Away)
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
14 Aug
Ituano U20
3 : 1
Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Votuporanguense U20 1
Gremio U20 3
Alagoinhas U20 1
Goias U20 0
Mirassol U20 1
Sport Recife U20 1
America RN U20 2
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 2
Gremio Prudente U20 2
Osasco Sporting U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
XV de Jau U20 3
Corinthians U20 1
Guarani U20 2
Bahia U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 3
America MG U20 2
Internacional de Limeira U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 1
Vasco U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Tuna Luso U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Meia Noite U20 1
Ponte Preta U20 2
Francana U20 1
Ferroviaria U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 0
Santos U20 1
Cuiaba U20 0
Bragantino U20 3
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 0
Canaa U20 1
Figueirense U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Portuguesa U20 0
Operario PR U20 4
Independente AP U20 0
EC Juventude U20 2
Aguia De Maraba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 3
Sao Jose EC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Uniao Mogi U20 1
Fluminense U20 2
Referencia U20 1
Ituano U20 3
Agua Santa U20 1
Palmeiras U20 4
Vitoria U20 3
Flamengo SP U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Osasco Audax U20 0
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 1
Retro U20 0
Internacional U20 4
Nacional SP U20 2
CA Juventus U20 0
1/16-finals
Chapecoense-SC U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Mirassol U20 0
America RN U20 2
Ceara U20 3
Gremio Prudente U20 1
XV de Jau U20 1
Guarani U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 1
America MG U20 0
Botafogo SP U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Ponte Preta U20 0
Ferroviaria U20 1
Santos U20 4
Bragantino U20 5
Canaa U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 5
Operario PR U20 1
EC Juventude U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Fortaleza U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 2
Fluminense U20 0
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 2
Flamengo SP U20 1
Santo Andre U20 1
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 3
Nacional SP U20 2
1/8-finals
Gremio U20 4
America RN U20 1
Ceara U20 2
XV de Jau U20 0
Atletico-PI U20 0
Guanabara City U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Santos U20 1
Bragantino U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Itaquaquecetuba U20 0
Ituano U20 1
Palmeiras U20 3
Ibrachina U20 2
Internacional U20 1
Quarter-finals
Gremio U20 3
Ceara U20 0
Guanabara City U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Palmeiras U20 2
Ibrachina U20 3
Semi-finals
Gremio U20 2
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ibrachina U20 1
Final
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 1