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Fluminense U20 vs Mixto U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Caio Amaral
78' Event
Luan Brito

AI Match Summary

Fluminense U20 in this Copa do Brasil U20 2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fluminense U20
20%
Draws
28%
Mixto U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fluminense U20 lately — more wins on the board than Mixto U20.
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Fluminense U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Mixto U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Mixto U20
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2022 Copa do Brasil U20
Fluminense U20 vs Mixto U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Amaral
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Brito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Mixto U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 85 / 100
Mixto U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Mixto U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Fluminense U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fluminense U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mixto U20 conceded in 77% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
26 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
16 Sept
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
05 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
0 : 1
Fluminense U20
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
Page 1 of 7

Mixto U20

(Away)
25 Aug
Mixto U20
2 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis U20
16 Aug
Uniao Rondonopolis U20
1 : 1
Mixto U20
13 Aug
Acao U20
2 : 2
Mixto U20
10 Aug
Mixto U20
1 : 0
Uirapuru U20
04 Aug
Mixto U20
3 : 1
Chapada U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo RJ U20 5
Aster Brasil U20 1
America MG U20 3
Goias U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Fluminense Piaui U20 1
ABC U20 4
Lagarto U20 1
Fluminense U20 2
Mixto U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 8
Real Brasilia U20 0
Ceara U20 6
Confianca EC U20 3
Nautico U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 1
Palmeiras U20 6
Uniao ABC U20 0
Avai U20 2
Brasil de Pelotas U20 3
Sao Raimundo RR U20 3
Andira U20 1
Fast Clube U20 1
IAPE U20 2
Remo U20 3
Capital FC U20 1
Real Ariquemes U20 4
Santana EC U20 0
Internacional U20 3
Mirassol U20 1
Coritiba U20 1
Londrina U20 2
1/8-finals
Flamengo RJ U20 3
America MG U20 0
Fluminense Piaui U20 5
ABC U20 3
Fluminense U20 4
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 5
Ceara U20 5
Nautico U20 4
Palmeiras U20 5
Brasil de Pelotas U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 1
IAPE U20 5
Remo U20 4
Real Ariquemes U20 3
Internacional U20 5
Londrina U20 3
Quarter-finals
Flamengo RJ U20 4
Fluminense Piaui U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Ceara U20 6
Palmeiras U20 5
IAPE U20 0
Remo U20 0
Internacional U20 7
Semi-finals
Flamengo RJ U20 2
Ceara U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Internacional U20 0
Final
Flamengo RJ U20 0
Palmeiras U20 1