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Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Andrey Fernandes

AI Match Summary

Vasco U20 in this Copa Rio U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fluminense U20
33%
Draws
40%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Fluminense U20.
  • Vasco U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vasco U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 28 / 100
Vasco U20 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Vasco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense U20 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Vasco U20 conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Vasco U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Vasco U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U206
Bangu U203
Fluminense U200
Vasco U202
Final
America RJ U201
Vasco U205