Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Andrey Fernandes

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Fluminense U20
15%
Draws
40%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Fluminense U20.
  • Fluminense U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Vasco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vasco U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 14 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Fernandes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 68 / 100
Vasco U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vasco U20 conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fluminense U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Vasco U20
1.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
01 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 2
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 7

Vasco U20

(Away)
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 1
Vasco U20
14 Aug
Vasco U20
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
08 Aug
Marica U20
1 : 3
Vasco U20
30 Jul
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Santos U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U20 6
Bangu U20 3
Fluminense U20 0
Vasco U20 2
Final
America RJ U20 1
Vasco U20 5