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Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Zuccarello L.
77' Event
Andrey Fernandes

AI Match Summary

Vasco U20 in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Fluminense U20
15%
Draws
40%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than Fluminense U20.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vasco U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fluminense U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 14 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Vasco U20 vs Fluminense U20
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Carioca U20
Fluminense U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuccarello L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrey Fernandes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense U20 58 / 100
Vasco U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Vasco U20 let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fluminense U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense U20 VS Vasco U20
1.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense U20

(Home)
29 Aug
Fluminense U20
2 : 1
Bangu U20
22 Aug
Madureira U20
2 : 2
Fluminense U20
15 Aug
Fluminense U20
3 : 0
Boavista U20
08 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
01 Jul
Botafogo RJ U20
3 : 2
Fluminense U20
Page 1 of 7

Vasco U20

(Away)
28 Aug
Vasco U20
0 : 1
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 1
Vasco U20
14 Aug
Vasco U20
1 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
08 Aug
Marica U20
1 : 3
Vasco U20
30 Jul
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Santos U20
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 54:23 44
2 Vasco U20 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
3 Botafogo RJ U20 19 11 3 5 32:20 36
4 Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 49:35 34
5 Athletico-PR U20 19 9 5 5 39:25 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 29:24 31
7 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 19 8 5 6 35:27 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 31:25 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 32:30 29
10 Flamengo RJ U20 19 7 7 5 28:29 28
11 Sao Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 27:26 25
12 America MG U20 19 6 7 6 25:37 25
13 Cuiaba U20 19 6 3 10 19:27 21
14 Vitoria U20 19 5 5 9 20:31 20
15 Gremio U20 19 6 1 12 31:42 19
16 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 25:31 19
17 EC Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 20:39 18
18 Criciuma U20 19 5 2 12 24:40 17
19 Avai U20 19 3 7 9 24:43 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 18:25 15
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)