Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Ignacio
42'
42'
Sub
Freytes J. In: Thiago Silva
Out: Freytes J.
50'
50'
Erick Pulga
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Fluminense and Bahia finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fluminense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fluminense come out ahead of Bahia on wins alone.
- Fluminense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fluminense | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Feb 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Fluminense
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Bahia vs Fluminense
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fluminense 36 / 100
Bahia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fluminense Bahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Bahia conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Fluminense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fluminense scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Fluminense VS Bahia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fluminense
(Home) 26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1 Fluminense
17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1 Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Fluminense
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1 Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1 Deportivo La Guaira
19 May
Fluminense
2 : 1 Bolivar
Page 1 of 4
Bahia
(Away) 26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2 Bahia
14 May
Remo
2 : 1 Bahia
03 May
Sao Paulo
2 : 2 Bahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 44 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 39 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 36 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 33 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 6 | Bahia | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 28 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | 22 |
| 17 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
