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Fluminense vs Bahia

World World

Club Friendly Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Erick
45'
Millan J.
45'
Rodrigo Nestor

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Fluminense and Bahia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fluminense
20%
Draws
52%
Bahia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — Bahia are scoring more at 1.59.
  • Model gives Bahia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 14%
Bahia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Bahia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bahia
0:0
Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Feb 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Fluminense
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bahia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.47
Avg xA / game 0.9

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 27 / 100
Bahia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Bahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Bahia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Fluminense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bahia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
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Bahia

(Away)
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1
Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2
Bahia
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3
Bahia
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