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Fluminense vs Bahia

World World

Club Friendly Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Erick
45'
Millan J.
45'
Rodrigo Nestor

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Fluminense and Bahia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fluminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fluminense
22%
Draws
18%
Bahia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense come out ahead of Bahia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fluminense a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Bahia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Bahia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Feb 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Fluminense
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Fluminense vs Bahia
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Bahia vs Fluminense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bahia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 68 / 100
Bahia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Bahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Fluminense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fluminense found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bahia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1
Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0
Bahia
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1
Nova Iguacu
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1
Fluminense
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
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Bahia

(Away)
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0
Bahia
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1
Montevideo City
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ
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