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Fluminense vs Bragantino

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Eduardo Sasha
Assist: Herrera J.
33'
Sub
Millan J. In: Freytes J.
Out: Millan J.
46'
Sub
Jemmes In: Ignacio
Out: Jemmes

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Fluminense and Bragantino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fluminense
20%
Draws
38%
Bragantino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Fluminense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 13%
Bragantino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Bragantino
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bragantino
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Fluminense
4:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bragantino
2:1
Jul 28, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bragantino vs Fluminense
0:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Bragantino
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignacio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bragantino Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Sasha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 40 / 100
Bragantino 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Bragantino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bragantino has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Bragantino
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Gremio1856720:2321
16Santos1956827:3121
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359