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Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Sun, Mar 8, 2026
0 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Rene
44'
Serna K.
56'
Acosta L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fluminense
15%
Draws
50%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Flamengo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 11%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.58 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Nov 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 35 / 100
Flamengo RJ 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Fluminense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Flamengo RJ conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Flamengo RJ
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 7

Flamengo RJ

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense 3
Bangu 1
Vasco 2
Volta Redonda 1
Botafogo RJ 1
Flamengo RJ 2
Madureira 2
Boavista 1
Semi-finals
Fluminense 2
Vasco 1
Flamengo RJ 11
Madureira 0
Final
Fluminense 0
Flamengo RJ 1