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Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Sun, Mar 8, 2026
0 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Rene
44'
Serna K.
56'
Acosta L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Flamengo RJ advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fluminense
22%
Draws
18%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flamengo RJ come out ahead of Fluminense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Flamengo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Carioca
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Nov 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Flamengo RJ
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 68 / 100
Flamengo RJ 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Fluminense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fluminense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Flamengo RJ conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Flamengo RJ
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1
Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0
Bahia
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1
Nova Iguacu
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1
Fluminense
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo RJ

(Away)
17 Jul
Flamengo RJ
4 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Jul
Benfica
1 : 2
Flamengo RJ
08 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Lausanne
03 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 2
River Plate
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Coritiba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fluminense3
Bangu1
Vasco2
Volta Redonda1
Botafogo RJ1
Flamengo RJ2
Madureira2
Boavista1
Semi-finals
Fluminense2
Vasco1
Flamengo RJ11
Madureira0
Final
Fluminense0
Flamengo RJ1