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Fluminense vs Platense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Fluminense Logo

Fluminense

2 - 0
FT
Platense Logo

Platense

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Nonato
Assist: Hulk
31' Event
Hulk
Assist: PH Ganso
58'
Sub
Togni G. In: Merlini B.
Out: Togni G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fluminense
20%
Draws
57%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Platense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Platense have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Fluminense are scoring more at 1.57.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Platense taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 17%
Platense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Platense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Platense vs Fluminense
2:1
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Platense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nonato
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hulk
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Platense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 28 / 100
Platense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Platense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Platense conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Platense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
28 Oct
Fluminense
2 : 1
Internacional
24 Oct
Chapecoense-SC
2 : 1
Fluminense
22 Oct
Palmeiras
1 : 1
Fluminense
18 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Santos
15 Oct
Fluminense
1 : 2
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

Platense

(Away)
02 Nov
Platense
2 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
29 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
Platense
23 Oct
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 2
Platense
17 Oct
Platense
0 : 1
Lanus
11 Oct
Platense
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 1
Flamengo RJ 0
Palmeiras 3
Fluminense 2
Final
Estudiantes L.P. -
Palmeiras -