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Fluminense vs Platense

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Fluminense Logo

Fluminense

2 - 0
FT
Platense Logo

Platense

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Nonato
Assist: Hulk
31' Event
Hulk
Assist: PH Ganso
58'
Sub
Togni G. In: Merlini B.
Out: Togni G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fluminense
20%
Draws
29%
Platense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fluminense come out ahead of Platense on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • Fluminense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Platense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Platense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Platense vs Fluminense
2:1
Sep 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Fluminense vs Platense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nonato
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hulk
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Platense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 86 / 100
Platense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Platense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Platense conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Fluminense found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fluminense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Platense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense

(Home)
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
Page 1 of 6

Platense

(Away)
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -