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Fluminense vs Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Maracanã
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
John Kennedy
48'
Renato Kayzer
60'
Alisson

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fluminense
6%
Draws
4%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fluminense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 14%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense Vitoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Vitoria
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Fluminense
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Vitoria
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Fluminense
2:1
Jun 27, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Vitoria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense Compare

Top Goalscorer John Kennedy
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serna K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense 84 / 100
Vitoria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fluminense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense VS Vitoria
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1995529:2432
4Bragantino1993726:2030
5Athletico-PR1893624:1830
6Bahia1885527:2329
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1956827:3121
16Gremio1956821:2521
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Mirassol1854920:2519
19Remo1846821:2918
20Chapecoense-SC18161117:359