Sport Picks
Fluminense W vs Bahia W
Brazil
Brasileiro Women Estadio Luso Brasileiro, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
40'
40'
Silva S.
46'
46'
Sub
Silva S. In: Rute Deveza
Out: Silva S.
46'
46'
Sub
Silva Amador L. In: de Souza Gomes B.
Out: Silva Amador L.
AI Match Summary
The Brasileiro Women game between Fluminense W and Bahia W finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bahia W come out ahead of Fluminense W on wins alone.
- Model gives Fluminense W a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Bahia W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 68%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fluminense W | Bahia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 3.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Bahia W
3:3
Apr 27, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Fluminense W
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Brasileiro A2 Women
Bahia W vs Fluminense W
4:2
Jun 11, 2022 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fluminense W vs Bahia W
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fluminense W Compare
Top Goalscorer Duarte K.
2 Goals Assists Leader de Souza Gomes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67
Bahia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rosa W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dani
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fluminense W 50 / 100
Bahia W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fluminense W Bahia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fluminense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Fluminense W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Bahia W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Fluminense W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fluminense W VS Bahia W
1.8 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fluminense W
(Home) 22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1 Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1 America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2 Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1 Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0 Fluminense W
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1 America Mineiro W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1 Bragantino W
21 Jul
Fluminense W
2 : 1 Cruzeiro W
27 May
Fluminense W
2 : 0 Minas Brasilia W
23 May
Fluminense W
3 : 3 Bahia W
Page 1 of 4
Bahia W
(Away) 24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2 Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0 Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1 Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5 Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2 Bahia W
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0 Bahia W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5 Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2 Bahia W
22 Aug
EC Juventude W
2 : 2 Bahia W
08 Aug
Atletico-MG W
0 : 3 Bahia W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo W | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Corinthians W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 42:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Palmeiras W | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria W | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 5 | CR Flamengo W | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro W | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 8 | Gremio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 9 | Internacional W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Bragantino W | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 30:26 | 26 |
| 11 | Fluminense W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 26 |
| 12 | Santos W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22:23 | 23 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 14 | Mixto W | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 10:27 | 12 |
| 15 | EC Juventude W | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:22 | 11 |
| 16 | America Mineiro W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:34 | 7 |
| 17 | Vitoria W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15:45 | 7 |
| 18 | Botafogo RJ W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)
