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Fluminense W vs Botafogo RJ W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio Women
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Silva Amador L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fluminense W
15%
Draws
0%
Botafogo RJ W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fluminense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fluminense W have won more games recently than Botafogo RJ W.
  • Win probability leans Fluminense W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fluminense W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fluminense W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fluminense W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fluminense W Botafogo RJ W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Fluminense W
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Rio Women
Fluminense W vs Botafogo RJ W
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Carioca Women
Fluminense W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Carioca Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Fluminense W
1:1
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca Women
Fluminense W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Amador L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fluminense W 95 / 100
Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fluminense W Botafogo RJ W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Botafogo RJ W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Botafogo RJ W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fluminense W VS Botafogo RJ W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fluminense W

(Home)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
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Botafogo RJ W

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio W
1 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
16 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 5
Sao Paulo W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
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