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FocuSport vs Sonabel Ouagadougou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Goho D. M.
Assist: Bamouni A.
49' Event
Amate A.
66' Event
Kinda A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between FocuSport and Sonabel Ouagadougou finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FocuSport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FocuSport
15%
Draws
38%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FocuSport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonabel Ouagadougou come out ahead of FocuSport on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sonabel Ouagadougou's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
FocuSport Clean Sheet 17%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FocuSport Sonabel Ouagadougou
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 0 10
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2 0.97
Goals Conceded 2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Premier League
FocuSport vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FocuSport Compare

Top Goalscorer Goho D. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouedraogo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Top Goalscorer Amate A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kinda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FocuSport 23 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FocuSport Sonabel Ouagadougou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FocuSport scored in 100% of their last 4 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Sonabel Ouagadougou has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

FocuSport has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FocuSport VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FocuSport

(Home)
10 Oct
FocuSport
1 : 4
Rahimo
04 Oct
Sporting Cascades
2 : 3
FocuSport
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0
AS Douanes

Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting Cascades
0 : 3
Sonabel Ouagadougou
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
US Comoe
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 FocuSport 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Rahimo 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
8 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Sporting Cascades 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 ASF Dioulasso 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Sonabel Ouagadougou 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)