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Stadium Background

Foggia vs Audace Cerignola

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Vitale G.
58' Event
Vitale G.
60'
Sub
Buttaro A. In: Oliva M.
Out: Buttaro A.

AI Match Summary

Audace Cerignola in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Audace Cerignola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Foggia
20%
Draws
51%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Audace Cerignola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Audace Cerignola lately — more wins on the board than Foggia.
  • Win probability leans Audace Cerignola's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Audace Cerignola here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Foggia Clean Sheet 17%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Foggia
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Foggia
3:2
Oct 31, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Castorri G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitale G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader D'Orazio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 15 / 100
Audace Cerignola 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Foggia scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Foggia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Audace Cerignola
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1
Foggia
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2
Altamura
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
Page 1 of 6

Audace Cerignola

(Away)
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1
Audace Cerignola
22 Aug
Audace Cerignola
3 : 1
Cosenza
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)