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Stadium Background

Foggia vs Audace Cerignola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Boccadamo A.
21' Event
Perlingieri M.
26'
Perlingieri M.

AI Match Summary

Audace Cerignola in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Audace Cerignola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Foggia
20%
Draws
46%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Audace Cerignola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Audace Cerignola lately — more wins on the board than Foggia.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Audace Cerignola taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Audace Cerignola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Foggia Clean Sheet 21%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Foggia
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Foggia
3:2
Oct 31, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Boccadamo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perlingieri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 29 / 100
Audace Cerignola 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foggia found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Foggia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Audace Cerignola
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
19 Oct
Giugliano
3 : 1
Foggia
11 Oct
Foggia
1 : 3
Potenza
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
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Audace Cerignola

(Away)
18 Oct
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
A.C. Savoia
10 Oct
Crotone
2 : 3
Audace Cerignola
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
2 Bari 10 6 2 2 13:6 20
3 Sorrento 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
6 Casertana 10 4 4 2 15:13 16
7 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
8 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
9 Scafatese 9 3 5 1 15:13 14
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 9 4 1 4 18:17 13
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Barletta 10 2 5 3 13:15 11
14 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
15 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
16 Altamura 10 3 2 5 7:14 11
17 A.C. Savoia 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 10 1 2 7 8:22 5
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)