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Stadium Background

Foggia vs Audace Cerignola

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foggia host Audace Cerignola in the Serie C - Group C. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Foggia at 0.83 goals for, 1.52 against; Audace Cerignola at 1.45 for, 1.48 against. Past meetings favor Audace Cerignola slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Audace Cerignola. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Foggia
30%
Draws
39%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Audace Cerignola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Audace Cerignola lately — more wins on the board than Foggia.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Audace Cerignola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Foggia Clean Sheet 20%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Foggia
0:0
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Foggia
3:2
Oct 31, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Audace Cerignola
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 32 / 100
Audace Cerignola 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foggia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Foggia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Audace Cerignola
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1
Foggia
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2
Altamura
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

Audace Cerignola

(Away)
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1
Audace Cerignola
22 Aug
Audace Cerignola
3 : 1
Cosenza
14 Aug
Audace Cerignola
1 : 2
Monopoli
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picerno 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Barletta 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
3 Potenza 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Sorrento 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Inter U23 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Foggia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Altamura 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Audace Cerignola 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bari 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Cavese 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Casarano 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
12 Casertana 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
13 Giugliano 2 0 1 1 6:7 1
14 Scafatese 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
15 A.C. Savoia 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Catania 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
18 Monopoli 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Cosenza 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
20 Crotone 1 0 0 1 0:1 -6
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)