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Foggia vs Giugliano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Pino Zaccheria, Foggia
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
D'Agostino G.
27' Event
Petermann D.
46'
Sub
D'Agostino G. In: Egharevba D.
Out: D'Agostino G.

AI Match Summary

Foggia in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foggia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Foggia
20%
Draws
16%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foggia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Not much separates Foggia and Giugliano on recent form.
  • Foggia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Giugliano here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Foggia Clean Sheet 68%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foggia Giugliano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Giugliano
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Foggia
1:0
Jan 31, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Foggia
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Giugliano
1:2
Jan 12, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Foggia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Petermann D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Giugliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Egharevba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foggia 59 / 100
Giugliano 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foggia Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foggia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giugliano let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Foggia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Giugliano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Foggia VS Giugliano
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foggia

(Home)
29 Aug
Foggia
1 : 1
Salernitana
24 Aug
Crotone
0 : 1
Foggia
16 Aug
Foggia
1 : 2
Altamura
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

Giugliano

(Away)
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3
Giugliano
21 Aug
Giugliano
3 : 3
Scafatese
16 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Sorrento
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)