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Foguetoes vs Academica Praia

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Academica Praia in this Campeonato Nacional 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Academica Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Foguetoes
39%
Draws
31%
Academica Praia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Academica Praia have won more games recently than Foguetoes.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Academica Praia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Foguetoes Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Praia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foguetoes Academica Praia
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Praia vs Foguetoes
1:0
May 20, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Academica Praia
0:0
May 17, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Foguetoes vs Academica Praia
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foguetoes 31 / 100
Academica Praia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foguetoes Academica Praia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foguetoes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Foguetoes found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (13 games).

Defensive concern: Academica Praia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Foguetoes VS Academica Praia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91