Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica 
Match Events
19'
19'
Biondi K.
Assist: Parlato M.
22'
22'
Castellano F.
29'
29'
Pedicillo L.
Assist: Balzano M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Folgore Caratese and Desenzano Calvina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desenzano Calvina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desenzano Calvina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Folgore Caratese haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
- Model gives Folgore Caratese a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Desenzano Calvina have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 20%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Folgore Caratese
3:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Folgore Caratese
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedicillo L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Top Goalscorer Biondi K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 36 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Folgore Caratese scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Folgore Caratese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Desenzano Calvina has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Desenzano Calvina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Arzignano | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 8 | AlbinoLeffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 16 | Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
