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Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Spalluto S.
45'
Renda F.
46'
Sub
Di Bitonto C. In: Comelli S.
Out: Di Bitonto C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Folgore Caratese and Giana Erminio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Folgore Caratese
35%
Draws
29%
Giana Erminio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese Giana Erminio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio
1:1
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Giana Erminio vs Folgore Caratese
2:1
Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group A
Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Spalluto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballabio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 41 / 100
Giana Erminio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese Giana Erminio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Giana Erminio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS Giana Erminio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

Giana Erminio

(Away)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
4 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
10 Lumezzane 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
14 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
15 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
16 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)