Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Barranco B.
36'
36'
Bardelloni E.
90'
90'
Esposito R.
AI Match Summary
Folgore Caratese in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legnano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Legnano haven't matched Folgore Caratese's recent run of results.
- Folgore Caratese are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 20%
Legnano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Legnano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 13, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Legnano
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Folgore Caratese
1:0
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Folgore Caratese
2:0
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Legnano
1:1
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs Folgore Caratese
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Barranco B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Esposito R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Legnano Compare
Top Goalscorer Bardelloni E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 36 / 100
Legnano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Legnano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore Caratese's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Legnano has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 3
Legnano
(Away) 12 May
Legnano
0 : 5 Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3 Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1 USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1 Varesina
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3 Legnano
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Legnano
07 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 0 Legnano
24 Mar
Castellanzese
0 : 0 Legnano
10 Mar
Piacenza
2 : 1 Legnano
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
