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Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Folgore Caratese host Union Brescia in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Folgore Caratese at 1.45 goals for, 1.17 against; Union Brescia at 1.3 for, 0.77 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.81 - 1.75) back Union Brescia to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Folgore Caratese
30%
Draws
47%
Union Brescia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Brescia come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 12%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese Union Brescia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.45 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 30 / 100
Union Brescia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese Union Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Union Brescia has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Folgore Caratese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Union Brescia has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS Union Brescia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore Caratese

(Home)
17 Oct
Folgore Caratese
0 : 2
Treviso
11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

Union Brescia

(Away)
19 Oct
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Union Brescia
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 10 9 0 1 17:4 27
2 Trento 10 5 5 0 15:5 20
3 Union Brescia 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Ospitaletto 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
5 Arzignano 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Treviso 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
7 Alcione Milano 10 3 6 1 17:15 15
8 Pergolettese 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
9 Lecco 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
10 AlbinoLeffe 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
11 Desenzano Calvina 10 3 4 3 9:11 13
12 Lumezzane 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
13 Novara 10 2 4 4 10:14 10
14 Dolomiti Bellunesi 10 2 4 4 7:12 10
15 Juventus U23 10 2 4 4 10:16 10
16 Carpi 10 2 3 5 14:20 9
17 Pro Vercelli 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
18 Giana Erminio 10 1 5 4 10:13 8
19 Folgore Caratese 10 1 3 6 9:15 6
20 Renate 10 0 4 6 9:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)