Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Sartori F.
23'
23'
Zanni M.
32'
32'
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Garcia Rufer A.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Folgore and San Giovanni finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
15%
14%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Folgore carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Folgore's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Folgore Clean Sheet 20%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore | San Giovanni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.2 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Giovanni
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Folgore
1:1
May 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Folgore
1:1
May 3, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Giovanni
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Folgore
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
San Giovanni Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanni M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore 85 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore San Giovanni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
San Giovanni has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Folgore stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Folgore VS San Giovanni
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore
(Home) 19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
05 May
Folgore
1 : 3 SP Domagnano
19 Apr
Folgore
3 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
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San Giovanni
(Away) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
26 Apr
Tre Penne
4 : 0 San Giovanni
07 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 0 San Giovanni
15 Mar
Folgore
2 : 2 San Giovanni
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
