Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Fabbri D.
70'
Montali G.
80'
De Nicolo G.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between Folgore and San Marino Academy U22 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Folgore
30%
Draws
12%
San Marino Academy U22
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Folgore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Folgore taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folgore here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Folgore Clean Sheet 20%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore San Marino Academy U22
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.23 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Folgore
0:3
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Folgore
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raschi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 85 / 100
San Marino Academy U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore San Marino Academy U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Folgore scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

San Marino Academy U22 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Folgore went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS San Marino Academy U22
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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San Marino Academy U22

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)