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Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22 Prediction & H2H Stats

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Garcia Rufer A.
41' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
74' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Pancotti S.

AI Match Summary

Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Folgore
30%
Draws
12%
San Marino Academy U22
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • San Marino Academy U22 haven't matched Folgore's recent run of results.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folgore here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore San Marino Academy U22
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.2 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Folgore
0:3
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Folgore
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 95 / 100
San Marino Academy U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore San Marino Academy U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

San Marino Academy U22 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Folgore went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS San Marino Academy U22
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

San Marino Academy U22

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)