Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Folgore play San Marino Academy U22 in the Campionato Sammarinese. Folgore are favorites here. Recently, Folgore averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. San Marino Academy U22 averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Folgore won 4, San Marino Academy U22 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Folgore and 1.13 for San Marino Academy U22. This points to a Folgore double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Folgore
25%
Draws
13%
San Marino Academy U22
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Folgore picked up more points recently compared to San Marino Academy U22.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Folgore Clean Sheet 21%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore San Marino Academy U22
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.1 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Folgore
0:3
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Folgore
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs San Marino Academy U22
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 60 / 100
San Marino Academy U22 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore San Marino Academy U22

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Folgore & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Folgore attacking → ← attacking San Marino Academy U22

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

San Marino Academy U22 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Folgore went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Marino Academy U22 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 16
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2