Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folgore vs SP Cosmos

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Folgore
15%
Draws
34%
SP Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SP Cosmos haven't matched Folgore's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Folgore taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore SP Cosmos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Cosmos
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Folgore
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Folgore
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Cosmos
1:4
Jan 23, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Folgore
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 59 / 100
SP Cosmos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore SP Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Folgore remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

SP Cosmos let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS SP Cosmos
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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SP Cosmos

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)