Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folgore vs SS Murata

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pancotti S.
Assist: Ura R.
8' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Pancotti S.
16' Event
Garcia Rufer A.

AI Match Summary

Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Folgore
15%
Draws
14%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore lately — more wins on the board than SS Murata.
  • Model gives Folgore a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Folgore here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Folgore Clean Sheet 20%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore SS Murata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 4 26
Goals Scored 2.2 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Murata
5:0
Jan 31, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Murata
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Folgore
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Folgore
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Murata
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pancotti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

SS Murata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 85 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Folgore scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

SS Murata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Folgore has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS SS Murata
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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SS Murata

(Away)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
4 Tre Penne 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
11 San Giovanni 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
14 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
15 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
16 Cailungo 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)