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Folgore vs Tre Penne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Folgore host Tre Penne in the Campionato Sammarinese. This one's hard to separate. Tre Penne have shipped 0.59 goals a game lately, while Folgore have conceded 1.1 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Folgore have won 0 to Tre Penne's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.13) back Tre Penne to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Folgore
15%
Draws
42%
Tre Penne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tre Penne lately — more wins on the board than Folgore.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Folgore Clean Sheet 20%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Tre Penne
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 24
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2.17 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs Folgore
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Tre Penne
1:3
Mar 16, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Tre Penne
1:1
Dec 11, 2024 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs Folgore
3:2
Nov 27, 2024 Coppa Titano
Folgore vs Tre Penne
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore 85 / 100
Tre Penne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Tre Penne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Folgore stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tre Penne has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Folgore VS Tre Penne
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Folgore

(Home)
09 Oct
SS Pennarossa
1 : 5
Folgore
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
Page 1 of 6

Tre Penne

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)