Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Lucatti G.
31'
31'
Valentini G.
40'
40'
Cecconi J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 game between Foligno and Lornano Badesse finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foligno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lornano Badesse come out ahead of Foligno on wins alone.
- Model gives Foligno a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Foligno Clean Sheet 20%
Lornano Badesse Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Foligno | Lornano Badesse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Lornano Badesse
3:3
Dec 18, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Foligno
4:2
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Lornano Badesse vs Foligno
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Lornano Badesse
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Foligno Compare
Top Goalscorer Valentini G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Settimi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Lornano Badesse Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucatti G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cecconi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Foligno 36 / 100
Lornano Badesse 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Foligno Lornano Badesse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Foligno's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Lornano Badesse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Foligno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Foligno VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Foligno
(Home) 20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1 Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1 Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1 Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0 Cannara
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1 Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0 Cannara
12 Apr
Foligno
0 : 2 Prato
29 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
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Lornano Badesse
(Away) 15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
08 May
Lornano Badesse
2 : 0 Arezzo
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
27 Apr
Lornano Badesse
2 : 1 Montespaccato
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sangiovannese
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
01 May
Foligno
3 : 3 Lornano Badesse
23 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Lornano Badesse
10 Apr
FC Rieti
2 : 0 Lornano Badesse
30 Mar
Unipomezia
1 : 1 Lornano Badesse
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86:30 | 81 |
| 2 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 61:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Arezzo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 65:45 | 64 |
| 4 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 63:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Pianese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 6 | Lornano Badesse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47:43 | 54 |
| 7 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:43 | 49 |
| 8 | Flaminia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 49:50 | 46 |
| 9 | Tiferno Lerchi | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36:48 | 42 |
| 10 | Montespaccato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:44 | 42 |
| 11 | Mobilieri Ponsacco | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 12 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Scandicci | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 14 | FC Rieti | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 39:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Foligno | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:65 | 35 |
| 16 | Unipomezia | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 38:64 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 27:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Pro Livorno | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 31:84 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2021/2022 (Play Out)
