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Foligno vs Orvietana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Foligno Logo

Foligno

0 - 0
FT
Orvietana Logo

Orvietana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Foligno
20%
Draws
40%
Orvietana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Foligno have won more games recently than Orvietana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Foligno Clean Sheet 20%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foligno Orvietana
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Orvietana
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Foligno
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foligno 32 / 100
Orvietana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foligno Orvietana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foligno found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Foligno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Orvietana let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Foligno VS Orvietana
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foligno

(Home)
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1
Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
Page 1 of 6

Orvietana

(Away)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0
Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1
Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)