Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foligno vs Orvietana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Foligno
40%
Draws
29%
Orvietana
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Foligno have won more games recently than Orvietana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Foligno Clean Sheet 20%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foligno Orvietana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Orvietana
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Foligno
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foligno 32 / 100
Orvietana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foligno Orvietana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foligno found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Foligno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Orvietana let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Foligno VS Orvietana
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Foligno

(Home)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Foligno
12 Apr
Foligno
0 : 2
Prato
02 Apr
Ghiviborgo
0 : 0
Foligno
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Orvietana

(Away)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0
Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1
Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)