Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foligno vs Scandicci

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Arrighini A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Foligno and Scandicci finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scandicci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Foligno
20%
Draws
32%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scandicci come out ahead of Foligno on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Foligno Clean Sheet 25%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foligno Scandicci
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Scandicci
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Foligno
0:2
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Scandicci
1:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Foligno
1:2
Nov 24, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie D
Foligno vs Scandicci
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foligno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Scandicci Compare

Top Goalscorer Arrighini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foligno 37 / 100
Scandicci 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foligno Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scandicci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foligno scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Scandicci has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Foligno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Foligno VS Scandicci
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foligno

(Home)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1
Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
Page 1 of 6

Scandicci

(Away)
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0
Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Scandicci
1 : 1
Siena
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)