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Foligno vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bosi E.
87' Event
Fabri F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Foligno
35%
Draws
40%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seravezza Pozzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Foligno and Seravezza Pozzi have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Foligno Clean Sheet 26%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foligno Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Foligno
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foligno 33 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foligno Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seravezza Pozzi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Foligno found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Foligno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Seravezza Pozzi let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Foligno VS Seravezza Pozzi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foligno

(Home)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0
Foligno
12 Apr
Foligno
0 : 2
Prato
02 Apr
Ghiviborgo
0 : 0
Foligno
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1
Scandicci
14 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Pistoiese
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2
Sestri Levante
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)