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Folkestone vs Carshalton

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mason B.
20' Event
Huke R.
27' Event
Ladapo T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Folkestone
20%
Draws
47%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folkestone lately — more wins on the board than Carshalton.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 16%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Carshalton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Carshalton
3:3
Jan 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Folkestone
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Folkestone
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Carshalton
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Carshalton
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Huke R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ladapo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 30 / 100
Carshalton 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Folkestone scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Carshalton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Folkestone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Carshalton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1
Folkestone
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
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Carshalton

(Away)
15 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 1
Cray Wanderers
10 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 0
Wingate & Finchley
08 Aug
Whyteleafe
0 : 2
Carshalton
01 Aug
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Carshalton
18 Jul
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)