Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Sery L.
48'
48'
Pigott J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmsford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Folkestone lately — more wins on the board than Chelmsford.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 20%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folkestone | Chelmsford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Folkestone vs Chelmsford
1:1
Mar 1, 2008 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Chelmsford
0:0
Nov 17, 2007 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chelmsford vs Folkestone
2:0
Mar 17, 2007 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Chelmsford
1:0
Nov 13, 2006 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chelmsford vs Folkestone
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folkestone Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Sery L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folkestone 36 / 100
Chelmsford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folkestone Chelmsford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folkestone scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Chelmsford conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Folkestone stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folkestone VS Chelmsford
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Folkestone
(Home) 19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2 Folkestone
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2 Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1 Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2 Folkestone
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2 Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1 Horsham FC
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 3
Chelmsford
(Away) 19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
