Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folkestone vs Erith & Belvedere

England England

FA Cup 2014/2015
Tue, Sep 2, 2014
3 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Folkestone advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Folkestone
20%
Draws
0%
Erith & Belvedere
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folkestone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Folkestone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Folkestone a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Folkestone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Folkestone, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 20%
Erith & Belvedere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Erith & Belvedere
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2014 FA Cup
Folkestone vs Erith & Belvedere
3:1
Aug 31, 2014 FA Cup
Erith & Belvedere vs Folkestone
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 85 / 100
Erith & Belvedere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Erith & Belvedere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folkestone found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Erith & Belvedere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Folkestone went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Erith & Belvedere
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Folkestone
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1
Chelmsford
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1
Folkestone
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 6

Erith & Belvedere

(Away)
10 Jul
Erith & Belvedere
1 : 4
Whitstable Town
02 Jul
Chatham
3 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
21 Jul
Welling
5 : 0
Erith & Belvedere
09 Sept
South Park
2 : 1
Erith & Belvedere
06 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Erith & Belvedere
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spennymoor 3
Bishop Auckland 2
Marske United 2
Dunston 4
Salford 2
Nantwich 0
Brighouse Town 1
Ashton United 2
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 7
Boston Town 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
United of Manchester 4
Prescot Cables 1
West Allotment Celtic 0
Lancaster 5
Buxton 3
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Bridlington Town 1
Newcastle Benfield 3
Bradford PA -
TBD -
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AFC Fylde -
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Halesowen 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Hereford 2
Ellistown 3
Droylsden 4
Ossett Albion 0
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Guiseley -
Alfreton -
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Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
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Wrexham -
Chorley -
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Northwich Victoria 2
Glossop North End 3
Workington 2
Consett 0
Squires Gate 4
Bamber Bridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Coleshill Town 1
FC Wisbech Town 0
Norwich Utd 1
Scarborough Athletic 3
Ashington 2
Burscough 0
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Stourport 1
Stafford 0
Tividale 4
Dereham 3
Neots 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Mickleover 3
Staveley Miners 0
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Bedworth United 3
Skelmersdale 4
Radcliffe 3
Darlington FC 0
Blyth Spartans 3
Gateshead -
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Marine 2
Ossett Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Farsley 2
Frickley 1
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Tamworth -
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Romulus 2
Rushall 3
Coalville Town 5
Belper Town 3
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Lowestoft -
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TBD -
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Southport -
Dorchester 2
Yate 1
Milton United 0
Abingdon 3
Leiston 2
Haverhill Borough 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 1
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Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
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Sutton -
TBD -
Sudbury 1
Romania 3
Fleet Town 2
Knaphill 1
Croydon FC 2
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 10
Littlehampton 0
London Colney 0
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 4
Pagham 2
Arlesey 1
Biggleswade Town 2
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bognor Regis 0
Lewes 1
London Tigers 1
Brightlingsea 0
Cambridge City 2
Needham Market 4
Flackwell Heath 5
Wantage 4
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Salisbury -
Banbury 1
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Eastbourne Borough -
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Felixstowe & Walton 0
Enfield Town 5
Romford 1
Bury Town 0
Horsham FC 0
Kingstonian 4
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Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 3
Mangotsfield 0
Tiverton 0
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 2
Ramsgate 1
Hadleigh 0
Billericay 4
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Braintree -
Canvey Island 4
Hertford Town 1
Thame United 1
Burnham FC 2
Margate 3
Folkestone 1
Northwood 3
Barton 4
Wingate & Finchley 6
Ipswich Wanderers 5
Daventry 1
Hitchin 2
Swindon Supermarine 2
AFC Totton 0
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Havant & Waterlooville -
St. Albans -
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Hayes & Yeading -
Farnborough -
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Brackley -
Winchester City 3
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Horndean 0
Newport Isle of Wight 1
Wealdstone -
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Concord Rangers -
Basingstoke -
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Bodmin Town 4
Bridgwater United 5
Hythe 4
Whitstable Town 0
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Ebbsfleet -
Waltham Abbey 3
Barkingside 1
Northampton Sileby 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
VCD Athletic 3
Hampton & Richmond 2
AFC Hayes 2
Harrow Borough 3
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 1
Sholing 0
Slough Town 1
Ardley United 2
Dunstable Town 4
Chesham 3
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Hemel Hempstead -
Norton United 5
Corby 4
Holwell 0
Spalding United 4
Barrow -
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Witton Albion 3
Runcorn Town 5
Shildon 3
Whitby 2
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Blaby & Whetstone 4
Tipton Town 1
Market Drayton 1
Stourbridge 3
Colwyn Bay -
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Clitheroe 1
Harrogate Railway 3
Sheffield FC 3
Shepshed 2
Trafford 0
Warrington Town 1
Grantham Town 4
Clipstone 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Stamford 3
Cleethorpes 3
Carlton Town 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Stockport County -
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Harrogate -
Solihull Moors -
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Matlock 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
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Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Hornchurch 3
South Park 2
Metropolitan Police 5
Stortford -
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Cray Wanderers 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Bath City -
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Bradford Town 0
Poole Town 4
Oxford City -
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Cirencester 1
Shortwood 2
Staines -
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Biggleswade United 1
Leverstock Green 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Taunton Town 1
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Gloucester City -
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Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 2
Saltash United 1
Sherborne Town 2
Blackfield & Langley 3
Thurrock 2
Welwyn Garden 0
Tilbury 0
Aveley 4
Maidenhead -
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Leatherhead 1
Faversham 2
Larkhall 2
Truro 0
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Gosport Borough -
Leamington -
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Mildenhall 1
Wroxham 3
Rugby 4
Chasetown 2
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Worcester -
Redhill 1
Carshalton 0
Herne Bay 0
Tonbridge 6
Beaconsfield Town 2
Godalming Town 1
Chessington & Hook 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Newmarket 0
Histon 3
Kettering 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Hungerford 1
Chalfont St Peter 2
Grays 6
Harlow 4
Whyteleafe 1
Hastings 2
Uxbridge 6
Bedfont & Feltham 0
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Bromley -
Whitehawk -
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Chipstead 5
Merstham 6
Worthing FC 3
Dulwich Hamlet 0
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Chelmsford -
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Wimborne 0
Longwell Green Sports 0
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
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Boreham Wood -
Quarter-finals
Spennymoor 4
Dunston 1
Salford 1
Ashton United 2
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Telford -
King’s Lynn 1
Hednesford 0
United of Manchester 0
Lancaster 1
Buxton 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
Bradford PA 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby -
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Halesowen 7
Ellistown 1
Droylsden 0
Guiseley 1
Alfreton -
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Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
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Wrexham -
Chorley 1
Glossop North End 0
Workington 0
Bamber Bridge 1
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Halifax -
Barwell 2
Norwich Utd 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Curzon Ashton 1
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Altrincham -
Leek Town 3
Tividale 2
Dereham 1
Boston United 3
Mickleover 4
Bedworth United 1
Skelmersdale 1
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead -
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Marine 5
Hyde 4
Farsley 1
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 2
Rushall 1
Coalville Town 0
Lowestoft 5
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Southport -
Dorchester 2
Abingdon 0
Leiston 1
Hendon 4
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Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
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Sutton 3
Romania 2
Fleet Town 0
Burgess Hill 4
Maidstone 2
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 2
Biggleswade Town 3
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Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes 2
London Tigers 2
Needham Market 5
Flackwell Heath -
Salisbury -
Banbury 0
Weston-super-Mare 3
Eastbourne Borough 6
Enfield Town 5
Romford 3
Kingstonian 5
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Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 4
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 1
Billericay 2
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Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Burnham FC 0
Margate 1
Barton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Hitchin 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Farnborough 2
Brackley 3
Winchester City 4
Newport Isle of Wight 3
Wealdstone 1
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Bridgwater United 0
Hythe 1
Ebbsfleet 7
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
VCD Athletic 0
Harrow Borough 4
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 1
Ardley United 0
Dunstable Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 2
Spalding United 1
Barrow 0
Runcorn Town 1
Shildon 1
Stalybridge 0
Blaby & Whetstone 2
Stourbridge 5
Colwyn Bay 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Sheffield FC 1
Warrington Town 3
Grantham Town 2
Stamford 1
Cleethorpes 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Solihull Moors 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
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Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Stortford 1
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Bath City 3
Poole Town 1
Oxford City 1
Shortwood 2
Staines 5
Leverstock Green 0
Paulton Rovers 2
Gloucester City 3
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Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
Thurrock 0
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 4
Faversham 0
Larkhall 3
Gosport Borough 10
Leamington 4
Wroxham 1
Rugby 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 2
Tonbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 1
Greenwich Borough 3
Evesham 3
Histon 1
Kettering 0
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 1
Hastings 0
Uxbridge 1
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 2
Merstham 1
Worthing FC 0
Chelmsford 6
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Boreham Wood 3
Semi-finals
Spennymoor 1
Ashton United 0
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Telford -
King’s Lynn 3
Lancaster 2
Buxton 0
AFC Fylde 1
Grimsby -
TBD -
Halesowen 0
Guiseley 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Chorley 4
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Boston United 0
Mickleover 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
Marine 0
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 1
Lowestoft 0
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 1
Hendon 0
TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 2
Biggleswade Town 0
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Welling -
FC Witham Town 2
Needham Market 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Kingstonian 2
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Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 1
Billericay 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Barton 0
Wingate & Finchley 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
St. Albans 2
Brackley 0
Winchester City 2
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Waltham Abbey 1
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 5
Norton United 5
Runcorn Town 2
Shildon 2
Stourbridge 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Warrington Town 2
Grantham Town 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
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Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bath City 5
Shortwood 3
Staines 3
Gloucester City 4
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Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 3
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 1
Gosport Borough 4
Leamington 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 0
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 5
Chelmsford 8
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Boreham Wood 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Spennymoor 2
Telford 5
King’s Lynn 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby 3
Guiseley 0
Alfreton 2
Lincoln City 6
Macclesfield 3
Wrexham 6
Chorley 0
Halifax 5
Barwell 0
Altrincham 3
Leek Town 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead 4
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 2
Southport 3
Dorchester 1
Bristol Rovers 7
Dartford 3
Burgess Hill 1
Maidstone 2
Welling 1
FC Witham Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 1
Weymouth 3
Braintree 5
Canvey Island 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 0
Concord Rangers 1
Basingstoke 5
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot 2
Torquay 0
Kidderminster 0
Eastleigh 1
Nuneaton 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 3
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 1
North Ferriby United 0
Stockport County 2
Chester 4
East Thurrock Utd 7
Bath City 1
Gloucester City 1
Forest Green 4
Willand Rovers 1
Gosport Borough 3
Worcester 2
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Bromley 2
Chelmsford 1
Barnet 4
Woking 2
Boreham Wood 1