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Folkestone vs Farnham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dean O.
68' Event
Pigott J.
84' Event
Bingham R.

AI Match Summary

Farnham in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farnham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Folkestone
20%
Draws
42%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farnham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Farnham lately — more wins on the board than Folkestone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Farnham taking it.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 10%
Farnham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Farnham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Folkestone vs Farnham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Pigott J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bingham R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 18 / 100
Farnham 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Farnham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folkestone scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Farnham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Folkestone has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Farnham
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2
Folkestone
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0
Folkestone
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1
AFC Totton
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

Farnham

(Away)
02 Nov
Chelmsford
0 : 2
Farnham
31 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Farnham
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Farnham
6 : 0
Braintree
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)