Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folkestone vs Farnham

England England

National League South Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dean O.
68' Event
Pigott J.
84' Event
Bingham R.

AI Match Summary

Farnham in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Farnham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Folkestone
20%
Draws
47%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Farnham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Farnham lately — more wins on the board than Folkestone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Folkestone taking it.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 20%
Farnham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Farnham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.89 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Folkestone vs Farnham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Pigott J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Farnham Compare

Top Goalscorer Dean O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bingham R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 42 / 100
Farnham 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folkestone scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Farnham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Folkestone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Farnham
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

Farnham

(Away)
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Farnham
22 Aug
Farnham
2 : 4
Billericay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)