Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Folkestone vs Hemel Hempstead

England England

National League South Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Pigott J.
55' Event
Thomas D.

AI Match Summary

Folkestone in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folkestone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Folkestone
35%
Draws
19%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Folkestone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hemel Hempstead haven't matched Folkestone's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Folkestone a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folkestone Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Folkestone vs Hemel Hempstead
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Pigott J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hemel Hempstead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folkestone 85 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folkestone Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Folkestone scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Hemel Hempstead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Folkestone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Folkestone VS Hemel Hempstead
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Folkestone

(Home)
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)